Pre-tourney Rankings
America East
2016-17


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
75 Vermont 100.0%   12   28 - 5 16 - 0 28 - 5 16 - 0 +7.4      +3.5 79 +3.8 74 61.4 313 +9.8 55 +14.5 1
134 Albany 0.0%   20 - 13 10 - 6 20 - 13 10 - 6 +1.6      +1.1 139 +0.4 163 61.7 311 -0.3 167 -2.1 4
188 New Hampshire 0.0%   17 - 12 10 - 6 17 - 12 10 - 6 -1.3      -2.0 223 +0.8 151 63.0 285 -0.6 173 -1.6 3
197 Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0%   16 - 12 9 - 7 16 - 12 9 - 7 -2.1      +2.4 103 -4.5 296 72.7 66 -1.6 195 -3.4 5
208 Stony Brook 0.0%   18 - 13 12 - 4 18 - 13 12 - 4 -2.9      -1.5 210 -1.4 211 62.6 297 -1.6 193 +3.1 2
291 Umass Lowell 0.0%   10 - 20 5 - 11 10 - 20 5 - 11 -8.2      -0.5 186 -7.7 334 77.7 16 -9.3 305 -10.2 6
312 Binghamton 0.0%   9 - 20 3 - 13 9 - 20 3 - 13 -10.0      -6.0 315 -4.0 285 63.5 278 -9.8 308 -14.7 9
333 Hartford 0.0%   9 - 23 4 - 12 9 - 23 4 - 12 -13.1      -9.5 343 -3.6 270 70.2 109 -10.4 314 -11.5 7
337 Maine 0.0%   6 - 25 3 - 13 6 - 25 3 - 13 -14.5      -9.9 347 -4.6 298 67.8 180 -13.3 334 -13.6 8





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.0 100.0
Albany 3.0 100.0
New Hampshire 3.0 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 5.0 100.0
Stony Brook 2.0 100.0
Umass Lowell 6.0 100.0
Binghamton 8.0 100.0
Hartford 7.0 100.0
Maine 8.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 16 - 0 100.0
Albany 10 - 6 100.0
New Hampshire 10 - 6 100.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 9 - 7 100.0
Stony Brook 12 - 4 100.0
Umass Lowell 5 - 11 100.0
Binghamton 3 - 13 100.0
Hartford 4 - 12 100.0
Maine 3 - 13 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 100.0% 100.0
Albany
New Hampshire
Maryland Baltimore Co.
Stony Brook
Umass Lowell
Binghamton
Hartford
Maine


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 12   0.0 0.3 40.0 55.5 4.2
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 16.3% 3.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 16.3% 0.2 83.7 16.3
Sweet Sixteen 3.4% 0.0 96.6 3.4
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0